Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • NEWS FEATURE

How far will global population rise? Researchers can’t agree

A cartoon person looks in confusion at a giant abacus on which the counting beads are cartoon faces

Illustration by Karol Banach

Access options

Rent or buy this article

Prices vary by article type

from$1.95

to$39.95

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Nature 597, 462-465 (2021)

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-02522-6

References

  1. Sobotka, T. et al. Preprint at SocArXiv https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/mvy62 (2021).

  2. Stout, M. J. et al. JAMA Netw. Open 4, e2111621 (2021).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. Lutz, W., Goujon, A., Samir, K. C., Stonawski, M. & Stilianakis, N. (eds) Demographic and Human Capital Scenarios for the 21st Century (European Union, 2018).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Vollset, S. E. et al. Lancet 396, 1285–1306 (2020).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  5. Gietel-Basten, S. & Sobotka, T. Preprint at SocArXiv https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/5syef (2020).

  6. Marivoet, W. & De Herdt, T. From Figures to Facts: Making Sense of Socioeconomic Surveys in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) (Institute of Development Policy and Management, 2017).

    Google Scholar 

  7. Lu, X., Bengtsson, L. & Holme, P. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109, 11576–11581 (2012).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Subjects

Latest on:

Nature Careers

Jobs

  • Postdoctoral Position

    We are seeking highly motivated and skilled candidates for postdoctoral fellow positions

    Boston, Massachusetts (US)

    Boston Children's Hospital (BCH)

  • Qiushi Chair Professor

    Distinguished scholars with notable achievements and extensive international influence.

    Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China

    Zhejiang University

  • ZJU 100 Young Professor

    Promising young scholars who can independently establish and develop a research direction.

    Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China

    Zhejiang University

  • Head of the Thrust of Robotics and Autonomous Systems

    Reporting to the Dean of Systems Hub, the Head of ROAS is an executive assuming overall responsibility for the academic, student, human resources...

    Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

    The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)

  • Head of Biology, Bio-island

    Head of Biology to lead the discovery biology group.

    Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

    BeiGene Ltd.

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing

Search

Quick links