UK cereals supply and demand estimates

• Despite above average domestic wheat consumption, heavy imports from growing concerns over next season’s crop, and minimal exports, leave well above average end of season stocks.
• For barley, a tighter than average balance on the year remains. Though much like wheat, minimal exports and concerns over the 2024 crop leave the heaviest ending stocks since 2014/15.
• Due to increased H&I usage, maize imports are expected to rise on year earlier levels, though remain below the previous five-year average.
• Reduced availability of oats, combined with average exports, leads to the smallest ending stocks forecast since 2011/12.

Next update: 30 May 2024

For further information please contact the AHDB Market Specialist team at Cereals.MI@ahdb.org.uk.

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